These numbers are concerning.  I will make an educated guess that most of the 86 deaths are from the flu but there are 1,000’s of unconfirmed cases to go with the 1400 confirmed cases.  For example, in New York approximately 100 kids came down with flu symptoms, but the health department only tested 8–all of which were positive for the swine flu.  This means that there are a lot of people with this flu that are unconfirmed cases.  I am hopeful that when the dust/stats settle, we will find that the Mexico numbers are more likely 80 dead out of 8000 (I hope or just wishful thinking)–which is a 1% mortality rate rather than the 6-8% mortality currently being reported there.

Now why are we not seeing any mortalities (yet)?  Is it just too few cases? Or has the flu changed? Or is there some kind of herd immunity from exposure to prior flu vaccines etc.?

Any thoughts???

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